On this starting of 2021, we are able to in the beginning see that the neoliberal political logic, overtly initiated round 50 years in the past via the college of Chicago, firstly tried in Pinochet’s Chile, is coming to its limits, that in most a part of the world, if not all, the ruling class are as soon as once more turning itself in the direction of the nation states to handle the quite a few disaster ongoing, just like the sanitary one, with the covid disaster that noticed, in Europe for example, the creation of a giant “stimulus plan” of round 750 billion of € by the European Council to combat the economical disaster that adopted the Covid one. EU producing zero incomes, this so referred to as “stimulus plan” is nothing however one more racket of Nation State by the European Union, that can distribute this cash as soon as once more completely arbitrarily and favorising some industrial sector, some international locations, & some market in opposition to some others. This occasion present clearly the boundaries of the “invisible hand’, of the “open, free and truthful competitors & market”, of the self regulatory fantasy, the prevalence of the market (non-public sector) over the state (public sector), that underlie the entire neoliberalism rip-off.
When confronted to actual structural downside, the market will at all times flip itself towards the one authentic actor of nationwide economical life, the State. Thus, the contradiction that was considered one of, if not the primary, motor of growth of western international locations; change into increasingly more each inept and proved because the rip-off it’s to the larger lots of individuals, which might be increasingly more in opposition to undemocratic, reactionary building such because the EU, which is one thing is mirrored within the completely different election that happen each at a nationwide or supranational degree, by which we may have seen an increase in anti EU occasion these pasts years, which might be largely far proper & fascist events sadly. On this regards, we are able to solely be extremely vital of the place of loads of European Communists Occasion, that stay compromised of their Eurocommunism logic, that’s that someway the European Union is reformable and will change into extra “social”, extra “democratic” or extra “progressist”.
This rip-off solely is one more clear proof that loads of Communist Occasion are past any hope of reform, that aren’t realist and viable choice for many of us and furthermore for the larger mass of the working class of Europe. With the sanitary disaster which led to the economical disaster that exacerbated the pre present political one, that’s nothing however the legacy of 2005 failed referendum, and of 2008 economical disaster, it is time to flip ourselves towards French nationwide scene to see extra concretely how this translate in individuals’s life, after making a brief rapport of the European scenario throughout the covid disaster.
• Covid scenario/overview of the sanitary scenario round Europe:
First, we are going to make a fast rapport of the sanitary disaster scenario in Europe, utilizing JHU CSSE information, consulted on this dashboard.
Europe is the second most affected continent of the world, with greater than 20 million of circumstances (France representing 3.5M of circumstances) and it was the primary earlier than the US of A take the lead, not so way back, and there is not any surprise why. Beneath European Union rule, a lot of the nation state needed to privatize, reform, rework their social safety and hospital sectors, chopping State funding, within the title of the austerity measure that adopted 2008 disaster, and likewise of the EU neoliberal dogma that contemplate nationalized sector as “social dumping”. Slowly however certainly, many Nation State did sabotage their very own hospital sector, their very own capability of manufacturing medication, their very own social safety service, and all these neoliberal measure are being paid these days, as soon as once more by the identical, the individuals of every nation.
Some could also be tempted to assume that it is not the case in their very own nation, that they did advantages from the European Union, that someway they’re higher having a optimistic stability within the quantity of € injected by the European Council of their financial system, however these individuals might have to recollect Historical past, most of these international locations are literally Japanese Europe international locations, those that have been socialist up to now, and their present nationwide scenario is not considerably good as a result of others Western/South European international locations are paying the onerous value, it nonetheless is much away from the frequent advantages all of them loved from their socialists Period; and to be satisfied of it, they merely should evaluation the exemplar administration of the Covid by precise socialist nation, from Vietnam to China, from Cuba to North Korea.This isn’t an opinion, that is all info, and it needs to be accepted as such by everybody, as soon as and for all, if we need to not solely get out of the present Covid disaster, but additionally be ready for the following pandemic that we might face earlier than later. To indicate extra in depth these info, and to spotlight extra the fact on the bottom, we are going to now advance and see two details: How the French authorities handle the disaster in its early time (the primary few months) not strictly on the authorized degree, which consisted largely of organising two lockdown, one from the 17th March to the 11th Could; one other one from the 30th October to the 15th December, together with two curfews efficient from the 17th March, which was largely determined by native authority and wasn’t strict sensus a authorities initative, and a second curfew, this one a generalized one pushed by the federal government, at first masking 54 departement of France, efficient from the 17th October to today. This second curfew, that’s nonetheless efficient, was initially arrange from 21h to 6h; however was prolong to the purpose we’re in right this moment, which is from 18h to 6h, a complete inepty that really that really push individuals to go residence quick earlier than 18h, or to do their purchasing, resulting in some peak within the metro or grocery store… Now that we’ve take care of the final measure, let’s take the exemple of the ex-minister of well being, Agnès Buzyn, and see how the federal government deployed his propaganda machine extra within the particulars.
• Administration of the disaster by the French authorities’s official
Within the first month of 2020, authorities official and minister have been attempting to steer the inhabitants that we weren’t dealing with an actual threat of pandemic. In all probability the best instance of that is Agnès Buzyn, that stated, the 24 January, that “the importation of covid case from Wuhan is reasonable. It’s now nearly null as a result of, as you realize, town is remoted“. The next growth will likely be handled in chronological order of occasion as a lot as potential, and can concentrate on her, which make sens for my part, given the context of the disaster.
She stated 2 days later (18:40) that France authorities had “dozen of hundreds of thousands of masks in inventory in case of sanitary emergency, so all that is completely managed by the authorities, and if one days we will must put on a masks, [they] would distribute these masks and there could be completely no purpose to go purchase them in pharmacy“
The 14 february, to the query, may we concern to have useless from coronavirus in France, she answered (4:20) : “Right this moment, I am unable to affirm it, however, seeing the severity of the pandemy in China, seeing the variety of case in South East Asia, it’s actually possible that we’ll have new circumstances, I can not say that we can’t have some, and so, even when they do not essentially come from China, we are able to see that there’s a circulation of the virus in several territory, and so we’re prepared, we proceed this technique of recognizing and isolating case, there at the moment are increasingly more hospital in France which have at their disposition assessments, we’re testing many dozen of people who come from China and who’ve symptom. […] For now all these assessments are adverse, however I can’t be sure that we can’t have case within the incoming weeks.”
17 february, Agnes Buzyn resign from her Minister place, to be the brand new candidate of LREM (Macron occasion) within the run for Paris Mayor place, following the scandal that ejected out of the election her occasion final candidate, Griveaux.
As quickly as Three of March, on a TV scene, she repeated that she has accomplished the mandatory to ensure that every thing is prepared for the pandemic, she has purchased and ordered masks, respirators, getting ready reanimation service in hospital, and this, month earlier than.
17 March, the tone of Buzyn has modified. She simply misplaced the election, had no extra official place, and he or she started to open the Pandora field.
Throughout her speech when she resigned of her minister place, she cried, which was seen as form of over reacting from loads of commenters on the time. However the actuality is that Buzyn, in her personal phrases, was crying as a result of she was conscious of the incoming disaster, which additionally included the murderous truth of preserving the municipal election ongoing throughout the outbreak of a pandemic, that means that the State will handle the gathering of enormous crowd of individuals whereas realizing completely the chance taken within the midst of the Covid disaster. She admit on this article that she was completely conscious of the drama that this pandemic could be for French society, and that the worst half was to know the sanitary dangers and but to run for the election nonetheless. She says that “she spent the entire election time [which was super short because she replace the main candidate only in the last weeks] in concern, and that the worst was the final week [the one before the 16 march], that she lived as an actual nightmare [because she was aware of the consequences of running an election in the middle of the first wave of pandemic outbreak]. She admitted that she warned the federal government as quickly as early January.
Quoting: “I believe I used to be the primary one to see what was occurring in China. I despatched to the Basic Director of Well being. The 11th January I despatched a message to Macron in regards to the scenario. The 30th January I warned Edouard Phillipe (PM) that the election in all probability could not occur. After I left the Minister, I used to be crying as a result of I knew the tsunami wave was in entrance of us. There will likely be hundreds of deaths.”
I may have developed on loads of her others lies, however this might add an excessive amount of size to the publish for not a lot, so I’ll flash ahead in time, to the second when Buzyn was confronted by the “Fee d’Enquête de l’assemblée nationale”, the parliament investigation fee; she as soon as once more repeated the standard lies, and went much more far: She stated that the anticipation work accomplished by the federal government was superior, that as a Well being Minister she wasn’t in cost ot the masks inventory, and that the truth that the State knew since October 2018 that an enormous inventory of the merchandise that they had have been out of date and wanted to be renewed and that it has not been accomplished, was certainly rising authentic query. When straight confronted to her personal phrases on the 17 March article the place she admitted all of it, she merely stated that “she was exhausted” after the Election Day…
Briefly, the farce was again on monitor at his highest degree of self contradictory claims, lies, mismanagement, careerism, and murderous inepties.
It is going to be price mentioning that she is the one who putted hydroxichloroquin as a “venomous product” via M. Salomon, one other determine that will have been price to analyse too, and who bought confronted by the parliament too. Right here is the textual content that categorized the drugs.
For individuals who might have concern about Mrs. Buzyn profession, I need to reassure them, she’s now working on the World Well being Group, extra particularly for its Director-Basic, as she has been “appointed as [his] envoy for relations with different multilateral organizations”. That’s what you get as a reward for mismanaging, mendacity, deceiving, betraying, and being accountable of the loss of life of dozens of hundreds of individuals in a correct dictatorship of the bourgeoisie like France is.
Now that we’ve seen the French authorities propaganda campain, and its first measure, albeit solely briefly, let’s advance towards a extra concrete, actual evaluation, which is the evaluation of the economical scenario in Europe and in France, and the measures took by the federal government to combat the pandemic.
• Economical scenario & recession within the EU Zone:
The extent of the recession in European international locations
Let’s see the economical scenario within the EU zone, utilizing this PDF from Eurostat from 14th August 2020.
“GDP and employment flash estimates for the second quarter of 2020 GDP down by 12.1% and employment down by 2.8% within the euro space. Progress within the euro space and EU, within the second quarter of 2020, nonetheless marked by COVID-19 containment measures in most Member States, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 12.1% within the euro space and by 11.7% within the EU in comparison with the earlier quarter, in keeping with a flash estimate printed by Eurostat, the statistical workplace of the European Union. These have been by far the sharpest declines noticed since time collection began in 1995. Within the firstquarter of 2020, GDP had decreased by 3.6% within the euro space and by 3.2% within the EU”
The economical scenario within the € zone is one thing that we’ll really feel for years to come back, and the chance of a 3rd and a fourth wave is to not be downplayed; the recession will in all probability stay excessive for months if not years, and its impact could have impression on the incoming decade far more deeply than the 2008 disaster had on the 2010s decade.
Comparability 2008-2020 GDP development charge
Two factor must be analyzed right here, first, European Council response (stimulus plan) and second the political impact of this recession on the nation state itself. As a result of if the “Eurosepticism” was already excessive, there’s an actual threat of an increase of far proper occasion and drive throughout Europe that can exacerbate the inner dissensus attributable to reactionary forces at residence, and with no actual progressist drive in Europe, with the chance of explosion of the Union is a significant supply of destabilization not solely in Europe, however on the planet.
• France instance
So how the European Council managed the disaster, and what it has accomplished already? We’ve got rapidly seen the stimulus plan that consisted in injecting a certain quantity of € in nationwide financial system, however even when this 750 billions of € appears large, it is truly actually nothing when in comparison with EU GDP that’s round 12okay billions €, and extra over, these injection aren’t accomplished to extend manufacturing, to keep up employment, or to secures some strategical industrial sector, in no way, actually it’s the reverse. They really are there to speed up the mass firing plan of many industries, and to safe the funding of shareholder and pension fund in loads of European nation. In France, the State gave round 10 billion to the aeronautic sector, with Airbus as the primary actor of the sector, and who symbolize 47.000 worker of the 195.000 that the entire sector has, and what did Airbus did? They’re truly firing 7580 workers
What are the arguments deployed by Airbus to justify that? Easy, they threatened France to permit Chinese language firm to speculate massively of their motion if the state does not comply. Keep in mind that the primary shareholder of Air France is the French State, with 14.3% of the actions. Which imply that the mechanism that enable firm to exerce on nationwide soil just isn’t “broke” or something, it’s by design what lower Nation State hand of any energy on their very own market and industrial sector, and that is the European Union system. I’ll illustrate with the opposite primary sector in France that was focus by the Stimulus plan that’s the vehicle sector. Right here is the doc that I’ll use and quote.
“La crise sanitaire liée au COVID-19 a porté un coup d’arrêt massif et brutal à l’ensemble de la filière vehicle française. L’approvisionnement s’est raréfié, parfois stoppé, les usines se sont arrêtées et les concessions ont fermé. En avril, le secteur a connu une baisse moyenne d’activité de plus 80%. A cela s’ajoute une chute du même ordre pour les ventes d’vehicles. C’est une scenario, à l’picture de la crise, totalement inédite pour un secteur qui représente près de 18% du chiffre d’affaires de l’industrie française. La reprise sera longue: les prévisions actuelles du marché vehicle font état d’une baisse du marché en 2020 d’au moins 20% au plan mondial et potentiellement de 30% en Europe. Ces chocs auront des conséquences majeures. “
“The covid disaster putted an enormous and brutal cease to the entire vehicle sector in France. Approvisionment rarified, someday even stopped, factories are at a cease and automobile concessions are closed. In April, the sector noticed a lower of 80% on common. The identical quantity was seen within the automobile promoting sector. It is an unprecedented scenario for a sector that represents round 18% of the entire French industrial sector product sales. Restoration will likely be lengthy: precise prevision on the automobil market stories a lower of at the least 20% in 2020 world extensively, and doubtlessly 30 in Europe. These chocks could have main penalties.”
I will not quote however will paraphrase the remainder of the doc for the sake of the reader, however right here is the plan that’s putted in motion:
· The environmental aids allotted to individuals to modify from combustion based mostly automobile to electrical and hybrid automobile will likely be upgraded, and quite a few electrical born will likely be arrange, 100.000 as quickly as 2021
· The investisment in manufacturing line that ought to have been accomplished by firm will likely be made by the state, as much as 1.5 billions of € for “modernizing manufacturing line” and automatizing it, in three time: First, 200 hundreds of thousands in 2020 to assist outsourced firm; second, 600 hundreds of thousands to favourite growth and reinforcement of firms; and third the remainder in R&D funding as quickly as 2020, with 150 hundreds of thousands injected proper now.
· Partial unemployment will proceed to be paid by the state.
Right here we see that the covid disaster is one other alternative for the corporate to keep away from as a lot as potential to speculate themselves and to outsource these funding to the State. And can it at the least secures work publish?
Completely not, Renault introduced just lately the firing of 4.600 worker in France and 15.000 world extensively. However you perceive, they should secures fund to pay dividend, and funding in manufacturing growth, or, let’s dream, in wage rise, are a blocking issue for that.
It is a complete course of that’s the consequence of a phenomenon some economist name the nice decoupling, that’s, in tremendous brief, that dividend a part of the advantages repartition exploded for the reason that 2000s, whereas % of funding and % of redistribution of the plus worth not solely stagnated however decreased. The “conventional” repartition was 1/Three for funding, 1/Three for dividend, and 1/Three for wage, exploded, and now it is largely dividend that enhance whereas the 2 different pole slowed down. That is nothing however one more proof of the elevated assault on labor from the capital aspect that occurred at a massively elevated charge these previous few a long time. Here’s a fast clarification of Nice decoupling:
“The Nice Decoupling is a time period some economists use to explain the financial decoupling of productiveness, wages, jobs and GDP development. These Four components used to maneuver kind of in unison. Beginning round 2000 the expansion in labor productiveness “decoupled” from job development. Labor productiveness and GDP development has additionally decoupled from median family revenue. In different phrases, a rising financial system and will increase in labor productiveness are now not resulting in as many new jobs or as a lot wage development as up to now. “
US instance of the Nice Decoupling impact
Coming again to the France scene (but it surely’s common in the entire EU zone as seen in previous report) and to the fact of 2020, we are able to solely discover right here these funding aren’t right here to secures manufacturing, by passing order to these industrial sector for example, nor to secures employment in any respect, however solely to secures the shareholder funding in some firm which might be main the monetary sector of some nation, like the auto or aeronautic sector of France, by securizing their valuation on the public sale market, and never by securizing their manufacturing line and their staff. If tomorrow Renault went to fireplace French staff and outsource its manufacturing unit exterior of France borders, these state aids will not even be a counterweight for the French state to dam them to take action, nor the 14.3% of actions that French state has in Air France. We merely are, pardon my French, wiping their ass and permitting them to keep away from their duty, and that is all in accordance with European Union insurance policies of administration of Covid disaster.
As we are able to see clearly right here, the exact same individuals who have been crying a couple of years in the past about “unfair state monopole”, about “social dumping”, about “market bareer”, and stored calling for the golden rule, who advocated for austerity measure and mass privatization of public service, not solely created the situation of the present covid disaster, via the compelled weakening of public hospital sector, of drugs manufacturing one, of social safety service within the title of neoliberalism, however at the moment are the exact same people who find themselves injecting € straight into economical sector, and massively, and this with none assure for the employment, who, quite the opposite, are actually funding mass firing plan.
Those that within the title of free and truthful market competitors destroyed the capability of Nation state to intervene on their very own soil, are the exact same people who now advocate not just for the other, for direct and big intervention in financial system, however are additionally securizing capitalist curiosity via this “stimulus plan” funding, by giving them freely what’s citizen cash, but additionally by paying partial wage for them; doing funding of their place, and permitting them to mass firing and social plan, when they’re completely conscious of the long run choc that this disaster will create.
The contradiction of neoliberalism being made this clear and apparent to everybody, it is solely a matter of time earlier than this replicate within the political scene. Individuals is not going to perceive or settle for that their firms are allowed to fireplace individuals en masse, and worst, obtain cash for doing so, whereas their state just isn’t allowed to have even an honest and useful public hospital sector in the midst of a sanitary & economical disaster such because the covid one. The impact of those insurance policies threat to be even greater in political phrases than it is going to be in economical one. However that’s sadly a facet of the disaster that I received’t be capable to deal with, as a result of this report that was presupposed to be brief is already too lengthy, and form of dense, so I should conclude it right here.
As we’ve seen, the neoliberal building that the European Union is, not solely bought shaken to its core as soon as once more, however this time, to an unprecedented degree. The disaster exacerbated the pre-existing structural issues that plagues the EU since its starting, the supranationality side of the Union, the neoliberal dogma that’s the core of its insurance policies & infrastructure, the constent weakening of the nation-state members public service of the pasts a long time, the schengen-space, the boundaries of its establishments, amongst many others issues. All these factors, that each liberal appears to take without any consideration for years, have been profoundly undermined, and loads of “concession” needed to be made by the European Council, the ECB, and so forth…
This had as a right away impact to spotlight the truth that the neoliberal dogma that underlie the entire European Union since its very starting is nothing however a rip-off, but additionally to spotlight the character of Class Warfare of it. Certainly, as we’ve seen, even in such vital time, everybody may have seen what have been the primary precedence of the ruling class, and the way they used the disaster to cynically develop evermore their very own political agenda, and what might be seen as concession, as a recoil, is actually a great pretext to mobilize the nation-state in their very own pursuits. However the penalties of the recession will likely be dramatic, very dramatic.
And we will not be fooled, this would be the solely results of the disaster if there’s no progressives forces to voice up their vital evaluation, to combat but once more what’s one other hold-up from the monetary world and its lackey, the ruling class, in opposition to what’s the authentic software of the nice lots, their nation-state. We’re not in Lenin time anymore, and the newest growth of capitalism and imperialism, which is neoliberalism, ought to have us involved in regards to the protection of the nation-state.
We already can discover that the FMI is again on monitor and start to pressurize France to take a sure numbers of measures, and really actually warn the world that that some international locations should “arrange a reputable mid-term budgetary framework” as a result of the worldwide public debt degree is reaching 100% of the world GDP. Subsequently our obligation, us communists, is double, and consist in conducting two issues: First a correct evaluation of the continuing occasion, in any other case we will not be stunned to not be capable to fulfill our second obligation, which is to guide the combat within the incoming Class Warfare that the post-covid scenario will lead us in. We face a precipice, and I can not assist myself however discover that the majority of us are unprepared within the combat that’s awaiting us within the incoming decade.
Examine, examine & examine, comrades. A concrete evaluation of a concrete scenario is what is required, as a result of with out it, we will be unable to do draft a correct theoretical principle and so, we received’t ever be capable to have a correct praxis, and learn how to name ourselves the vanguard of the working class if we’re not capable of have a correct praxis? How are we supposed to guide the combat that awaits us if we can not first manage ourselves?
If the 2010s was already fairly harsh for all of the partisan of Europe, I can not stress out sufficient how a lot more durable would be the 2020s decade. And this time, we must be ready and arranged, as a result of the difficulty of this combat might be probably the most decisive subject for the individuals not solely of Europe, however of the world. As a result of the scenario just isn’t brighter throughout the Atlantic, as a result of such a weakening of the Empire might not come once more anytime quickly; and since all this occur whereas a lightweight is shining brightly within the East, giving us a correct lesson on learn how to handle the covid disaster, it’s now as much as us to remodel the essay and to reverse the development. If it imply that we have to drop any hope for the Eurocommunist occasion, which might be struggling of the senile illness of communism, and to start to construct our personal occasion from scratch, then be it. If it imply to push for reforming the historically communist syndicate, then be it. If it imply to bear the contradiction & the vital speech in every single place, each time, then be it. We can not and we will not afford to be defeatist in such a interval. We can not and we will not afford one other decade such because the one which simply handed.
“The constructing of a combating organisation and the conduct of political agitation are important below any “drab, peaceable” circumstances, in any interval, regardless of how marked by a “declining revolutionary spirit”; furthermore, it’s exactly in such intervals and below such circumstances that work of this type is especially essential, since it’s too late to kind the organisation in occasions of explosion and outbursts; the occasion should be in a state of readiness to launch exercise at a second’s discover.”
V.I Lenin – The place to start? – Could 1901